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Match Schedule
Detroit Lions
vs Chicago Bears
Match Title:
NFL Regular Season 2012 (Week-7)
Date: Monday (23 October) 00.30 GMT (+0) 08:30 PM (ET)
Location: Soldier Field
Live/Repeat: Live HD Telecast
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he Detroit Lions and Chicago Bears face off on Monday night in Chicago in
what could be a season-defining game for both teams.
The Lions (2-3) have faced a lot of early-season tests and are flunking the
class right now. This was supposed to be a season in which the Lions took a
step forward, but right now, they look like they're treading water. The offense
doesn't look explosive, and the defense looks like it belongs in the Big Ten.
They alternate between being overmatched and shooting themselves in the foot.
If there is a bright side for the Lions, their talent level is clearly
better than their play so far, and they've eked wins against the Philadelphia
Eagles and St. Louis Rams while playing as poorly as possible. They've also had
a rough schedule, losing in close games to the San Francisco 49ers and
Minnesota Vikings.
The Bears (4-1) haven't really been tested in the same way. Besides a loss
to the Green Bay Packers, the Bears have wins against the Dallas Cowboys, St.
Louis Rams, Indianapolis Colts and Jacksonville Jaguars—a group of teams that
are a collective 10-15 on the season.
With an offense searching for its identity, the Bears defense has done most
of the heavy lifting this season and quite a bit of the scoring as well.
Chicago will look for a more balanced effort against a banged-up and
talent-starved Lions secondary.
So, who wins on Monday night?
Key Storyline No. 1: Are Either of These
Guys Franchise Quarterbacks?
Both the Lions and the Bears came into the 2012 season without any question
marks under center. Matt Stafford and Jay Cutler are both widely considered
good young quarterbacks. Sure, they have off days, and sure, both could use
more protection, but neither is going anywhere.
Going into Week 7, they rank (by passer rating) 24th and 25th in the league.
Neither has thrown more touchdowns than interceptions, and Cutler isn't even
completing over 60 percent of his passes.
These two are part of a massive group of underachieving passers this season
that includes Cam Newton, Michael Vick, Tony Romo and many others.
This game alone isn't going to change the season-long narrative of either of
these guys, but it could go a long way in getting either back on the right
track.
Key Storyline No. 2: Do the Lions Have ANY Self
Control?
One of the Lions' talking points over the offseason was cleaning up their
penalty problems and their bad-boy image. As more and more Lions were arrested
and pulled over, the team tried to convince fans and the national media that
these were all speed bumps toward a championship and that off-field issues
wouldn't translate to on-field losses of composure.
Never mind.
The Lions' 16 penalties last week against Philadelphia should have cost them
the game. These aren't just encroachment penalties caused by trying to get an
edge in the pass rush. False starts belie a lack of discipline, and personal
fouls show immaturity.
This is not a team that looks ready (or properly coached) to win very many
football games.
Keys for the Detroit Lions on Offense
Ball control...it's just that simple.
The Lions offensive line has been better than advertised all season long,
but the Chicago pass rush will still get to Stafford early and often. For much
of this season, Stafford's accuracy (under pressure or not) has been a giant
question mark. The Lions have lived and died by the big play, and that trend
could kill them on Monday night.
Stafford has all of the tools necessary to move the ball down the field with
intermediate passes. Look for Nate Burleson and Brandon
Pettigrew
to be involved early and Mikel
Lecture to have an
expanded role in the pass game.
Keys for the Chicago Bears on Offense
Much like the Lions, the Bears will ultimately rely on their ability to keep
Cutler upright and move the ball down the field. However, unlike the Lions, the
Bears get to pass against one of the worst secondaries in the league.
Getting Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte going after the catch will be
important. Cutler in seven-step drops will probably result in a lot of
pressures, but three- to five-step drops and a load of yards after the catch
will keep the Lions on their heels.
It's also important to keep the Lions guessing.
While the Lions' run defense is (surprisingly) better than expected in 2012,
the Bears have the talent to move the ball on the ground. A balanced attack will
ultimately mean success for Cutler.
Keys for the Detroit Lions on Defense
Pray?
Seriously, the Lions (even with their injuries) have not been as horrible as
people think on the defensive side of the ball, and much of that has been
predicated upon improved linebacker play.
As much as the Lions are built around a stout front and lack a competent
secondary, this team goes as Stephen
Tulloch and
Justin Durant go. If those two are on (especially in coverage), the Lions can
stop just about anyone.
Chris Houston has been one of the best players no one is talking about.
He'll have his hands full, but he'll need to stop Brandon Marshall without much
help. He doesn't have to lock Marshall down, he just needs to keep the ball out
of his hands long enough for the Lions to apply pressure.
Keys for the Chicago Bears on Defense
The Bears can end this one early by rattling Matt Stafford and confusing him
with a few complex coverages on Calvin Johnson.
It sounds crazy, yes, but the Bears have to make Stafford beat them. It
isn't like he can't—it's just that he isn't doing it with regularity so far
this season. He's thrown enough errant balls that Charles Tillman and Tim
Jennings should be licking their chops in this one.
They also have to continue to capitalize. The Bears offense isn't going to
outscore the Lions on its own. A defensive touchdown (or two, again) from the
Bears will go a long way toward keeping the Lions down in the NFC North.
Bold Prediction No. 1: The Teams Will
Combine For Five Turnovers
OK, maybe this isn't
that bold, but consider that the Lions haven't
been a takeaway machine in 2012. On Monday night, however, they have a chance.
Look for a sloppy first half and a few passes landing in the mitts of
defensive backs. Both of these quarterbacks (and teams in general) take some
time to settle in, and both defenses will look to take advantage of that.
Bold Prediction No. 2: Jason Campbell Will
Finish the Game
This one is a little more bold, but not if one has spent any time watching
the Bears offensive line play this season.
The Lions defensive front looked like it had something to prove against
Philadelphia, and Michael Vick got hit hard. Cutler has to have his head on a
swivel against a group of guys that will be looking to take it off.
It might not be the most legal of hits, but strength meets weakness and the
Lions will send Cutler to the sideline.
Player of the Game Prediction: Calvin
Johnson
No Lions-Bears matchup would be the same without a "complete the
process" reference, so my pick for player of the game is Johnson in a bit
of a "revenge" game at Soldier Field.
He'll need to be at his best, whichever fantastic Bears defensive back is on
him, but let's not pretend he's not physically talented enough to do it.
Final Score Prediction: Detroit Lions 27,
Chicago Bears 24
I'm going against the grain for the second straight week by picking the
Lions to win against a team no one thinks they can touch. Both
fanbases seem ready for a letdown this week, and this
game will come down to which team makes less mistakes or capitalizes on its
opponent's mistakes better.
